Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003959 0.004163 0.004373 0.004604 0.004853 0.005113 0.005404
2025-07-20 0.003652 0.003961 0.004292 0.004674 0.005104 0.005575 0.006133
2025-07-27 0.003396 0.003757 0.004156 0.004629 0.005180 0.005805 0.006573
2025-08-03 0.003206 0.003604 0.004052 0.004597 0.005249 0.006009 0.006974
2025-08-10 0.003048 0.003472 0.003958 0.004561 0.005298 0.006181 0.007332
2025-08-17 0.002975 0.003431 0.003963 0.004637 0.005480 0.006513 0.007899
2025-08-24 0.002864 0.003337 0.003898 0.004620 0.005539 0.006691 0.008275
2025-08-31 0.002758 0.003244 0.003826 0.004588 0.005575 0.006834 0.008607
2025-09-07 0.002650 0.003141 0.003738 0.004528 0.005567 0.006917 0.008857
2025-09-14 0.002549 0.003044 0.003651 0.004465 0.005550 0.006983 0.009082
2025-09-21 0.002487 0.002993 0.003620 0.004471 0.005623 0.007170 0.009485
2025-09-28 0.002369 0.002865 0.003485 0.004334 0.005496 0.007075 0.009474
2025-10-05 0.002315 0.002820 0.003457 0.004339 0.005563 0.007255 0.009879
2025-10-12 0.002289 0.002809 0.003472 0.004403 0.005715 0.007562 0.010492
2025-10-19 0.002223 0.002743 0.003413 0.004362 0.005715 0.007647 0.010768
2025-10-26 0.002166 0.002687 0.003364 0.004333 0.005730 0.007754 0.011081
2025-11-02 0.002110 0.002632 0.003314 0.004299 0.005736 0.007845 0.011374
2025-11-09 0.002095 0.002631 0.003338 0.004369 0.005896 0.008177 0.012080
2025-11-16 0.002051 0.002588 0.003302 0.004354 0.005926 0.008309 0.012459
2025-11-23 0.002004 0.002541 0.003258 0.004324 0.005935 0.008405 0.012781
2025-11-30 0.001951 0.002483 0.003198 0.004269 0.005900 0.008431 0.012979
2025-12-07 0.001899 0.002425 0.003138 0.004210 0.005859 0.008442 0.013151
2025-12-14 0.001870 0.002400 0.003121 0.004216 0.005916 0.008617 0.013630